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Pessimism of people like Rogers and a vast swathe of Sell Side armchair analysts is more a contrarian buy signal than a sell signal. Markets will be much higher a year from now.

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The probability is very high that the worst of the markets is already behind us. My expectation of a bottom around 7900-8000 for the Nifty seems to be playing out. There was always a probability of a slip to 7700 levels however this seems to be a lower probability event now. I am a buyer in the markets now. The second half should be decent for the markets with a high possibility of a new high by the end of the year.

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As we enter into the 11th month of the new government, the initial feeling of Euphoria is giving way to some despondency and a feeling that nothing much has changed and there is no move forward. While it is true that there are elements of policy as well as implementation that could have moved faster the fact is also that a lot has been done and the impact of the same will be seen on the ground over the next 3-6 months.

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